Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.134527 0.144164 0.154241 0.165584 0.178017 0.191254 0.206447
2025-09-21 0.112214 0.125947 0.141189 0.159448 0.180843 0.205262 0.235443
2025-09-28 0.098212 0.114133 0.132621 0.155872 0.184609 0.219332 0.265026
2025-10-05 0.091437 0.109403 0.131081 0.159513 0.196346 0.243196 0.308536
2025-10-12 0.085693 0.105040 0.129142 0.161902 0.206104 0.264939 0.351415
2025-10-19 0.079807 0.099792 0.125362 0.161175 0.211207 0.280485 0.387172
2025-10-26 0.075026 0.095479 0.122271 0.160823 0.216417 0.296263 0.424756
2025-11-02 0.070407 0.090970 0.118463 0.158971 0.219054 0.308232 0.457648
2025-11-09 0.065451 0.085634 0.113081 0.154333 0.216994 0.312663 0.478688
2025-11-16 0.061585 0.081539 0.109118 0.151365 0.217036 0.320113 0.505355
2025-11-23 0.058247 0.077971 0.105646 0.148801 0.217362 0.327854 0.533255
2025-11-30 0.056334 0.076307 0.104786 0.150064 0.223739 0.345998 0.582101
2025-12-07 0.053053 0.072544 0.100702 0.146176 0.221630 0.349906 0.605664
2025-12-14 0.049577 0.068343 0.095759 0.140639 0.216388 0.347935 0.617782
2025-12-21 0.046984 0.065329 0.092450 0.137499 0.214942 0.352583 0.643923
2025-12-28 0.046098 0.064824 0.092947 0.140567 0.224466 0.378319 0.718287
2026-01-04 0.045029 0.063975 0.092838 0.142588 0.232263 0.401626 0.791604
2026-01-11 0.043454 0.062260 0.091253 0.141967 0.235146 0.415571 0.846009
2026-01-18 0.042057 0.060756 0.089916 0.141667 0.238564 0.430920 0.906590
2026-01-25 0.040494 0.058917 0.087936 0.140092 0.239392 0.440934 0.955739
2026-02-01 0.038562 0.056409 0.084737 0.136144 0.235277 0.439958 0.976200
2026-02-08 0.037022 0.054472 0.082400 0.133615 0.233767 0.444487 1.012338
2026-02-15 0.035638 0.052735 0.080319 0.131429 0.232763 0.450010 1.052312